3tej home

15-Year Mortgage vs 30-Year Mortgage

Pay double the monthly to save hundreds of thousands in interest - the home loan math most buyers ignore.

TLDR

On a $400K mortgage: 15-year at 6.0% costs $3,376/month with $207K total interest. 30-year at 6.75% costs $2,594/month with $533K total interest. The 15-year saves $326K in interest but costs $782/month MORE - which, if invested at 7%, would grow to $467K over those 15 years. The math says invest the difference; the discipline says pay it off. Honest answer is what you'll actually do, not what looks best on paper.

Verdict: 30-year mortgage wins for cash flow and flexibility - lower monthly payment, more money to invest elsewhere at potentially higher returns. 15-year wins if you (a) can afford the higher payment without strain (b) have a low-discipline track record on investing the difference (c) want guaranteed debt freedom in 15 years. Most financially literate buyers take the 30-year and invest the savings; most behaviourally-driven buyers benefit from the 15-year's forced discipline.

Side-by-side comparison

Criterion15-Year Mortgage30-Year MortgageWinner
Monthly payment ($400K loan)$3,376 at 6.0%$2,594 at 6.75%30-Year Mortgage
Total interest paid$207,617$533,72815-Year Mortgage
Total paid (principal + interest)$607,617$933,72815-Year Mortgage
Time to debt freedom15 years30 years15-Year Mortgage
Equity build-up in year 5~30% of loan paid down~10% of loan paid down15-Year Mortgage
Interest rate (typical)0.50-0.75% below 30-year rateHigher rate (longer-duration risk)15-Year Mortgage
Cash flow flexibilityTighter - higher mandatory paymentMore room - lower mandatory payment30-Year Mortgage
Mortgage interest tax deductionLess to deduct (paying it off faster)More to deduct over longer period30-Year Mortgage
Refinance risk if rates riseLess exposure (shorter term)More exposure (locked in longer)15-Year Mortgage
Forced savings via principalHigh - large chunk of payment is principal earlyLow - mostly interest in early years15-Year Mortgage
Best forEstablished income, no other debt, savings focusFirst home, growing income, flexibility focusvaries
Down payment requirementSame minimums applySame minimums applyTie

Run your own numbers

Plug in your numbers - the calculator updates instantly. Same math, your inputs.

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15-Year Mortgage
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30-Year Mortgage
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Estimates only. Returns are not guaranteed. Tax rules and rates current as of 2026-05-16.

When each one wins

When 15-Year Mortgage wins

  • You can afford the higher monthly payment without straining your budget
  • You have a stable, predictable income for the next 15 years
  • You're within 15-20 years of retirement and want debt-free by then
  • You've struggled to save in the past - the 15-year is FORCED savings
  • You can also fully fund 401(k) match + Roth IRA at the same time

When 30-Year Mortgage wins

  • You're early in your career and your income will grow significantly
  • You have higher-return opportunities elsewhere (employer match unfunded, high-interest debt to pay off)
  • You want maximum cash flow flexibility for unexpected expenses
  • You're disciplined enough to actually invest the monthly difference at 7%+
  • Your area has high property tax + the mortgage interest deduction matters to you
The math (typical scenario)

$400,000 mortgage. 15-year fixed at 6.00% vs 30-year fixed at 6.75% (typical 0.75% spread). Plus opportunity cost analysis:

15-year fixed at 6.00%
  Monthly P&I: $3,376
  Total payments (180 months): $607,617
  Total interest: $207,617
  Year-5 balance: ~$308,000 (23% paid down)
  Year-15: $0 (paid off!)

30-year fixed at 6.75%
  Monthly P&I: $2,594
  Total payments (360 months): $933,728
  Total interest: $533,728
  Year-5 balance: ~$378,000 (5.5% paid down)
  Year-15: ~$304,000 (still 76% remaining)
  Year-30: $0

Interest savings from 15-year: $326,111

Opportunity cost analysis: take the 30-year, invest the difference
  Monthly difference: $3,376 - $2,594 = $782 invested at 7% return
  After 15 years invested: $782 * [(1.07^15 - 1) / 0.07] * 12 = $251,733
  Plus 30-year mortgage still has $304K balance at year 15
  Net position: -$304K mortgage + $252K investment = -$52K NET

  Take the 15-year instead at year 15: $0 mortgage, no investment from difference = $0 NET

  BUT continue investing same $782/mo (now freed up) for the next 15 years:
  Year 30 portfolio: $252K * 1.07^15 + $782 * 12 * [(1.07^15-1)/0.07] = $946K

Net at year 30:
  15-year strategy: $946K invested
  30-year strategy: $252K * 1.07^15 = $695K invested (because you stopped investing
  the difference after year 15)

Plus the 15-year has 5 EXTRA years of fully-invested $3,376/mo savings = $362K more
Bottom line: 15-year tends to win net-net IF you actually invest the savings after
the mortgage is paid off. Most people don't.
When the math actually breaks each direction

The rate spread matters more than you think

Lenders typically charge 0.50-0.75% MORE for a 30-year vs 15-year mortgage (longer-duration risk). On $400K, that's $1,500-$2,500/year in extra interest cost on the 30-year. Combine that with the longer term and you get the dramatic $325K+ lifetime interest gap. If the spread is wider (1%+), the 15-year wins more decisively; if the spread is narrow (0.25%), the 30-year + invest-the-difference strategy has a clearer edge.

The 'invest the difference' assumption is fragile

Academic math says: take the 30-year, invest the $782/month savings at 7-10% market returns, end up wealthier. In practice DALBAR studies show the average mutual fund investor earns 4-5% LESS than the fund returns due to bad timing and panic selling. If your real investing return is 5% (not 8%), the 'invest the difference' strategy mathematically falls behind the 15-year. Most people would be better served by forced equity build-up via the shorter mortgage.

The biweekly hack on a 30-year

If you take a 30-year but make biweekly payments (half monthly amount every 2 weeks), you make 26 half-payments = 13 full payments per year (vs 12). This shortens a 30-year by ~6 years and saves about $80K-$120K in interest on a typical loan. You get most of the 15-year's interest savings while keeping the flexibility to skip the extra payment if cash gets tight.

The refinance escape hatch

If you take a 30-year and rates fall 1-1.5%, you can refinance to a new 30-year at the lower rate (or refi to a 15-year if you can afford the higher payment). The 15-year doesn't really offer the same flexibility - you're locked into the higher payment. So the 30-year offers a real option value the 15-year doesn't. In a low-rate environment, that flexibility is worth less; in a high-rate environment (like late 2025-2026), it's worth a lot.

Frequently asked questions
How much can I save with a 15-year mortgage vs 30-year?

On a $400K loan at typical rates, the 15-year saves about $325K in lifetime interest - roughly equal to the loan principal itself. Use the calculator above for your exact numbers.

Why does the 15-year usually have a lower interest rate?

Lenders price in duration risk - locking in a rate for 30 years is riskier (for the lender) than 15 years. The spread is typically 0.50-0.75% lower for the 15-year mortgage.

What's the downside of a 15-year mortgage?

Higher monthly payment (often 25-35% more than a 30-year on the same loan). This constrains cash flow for other priorities: retirement savings, kid's college, emergency fund, vacation, home improvements.

Can I make extra payments on a 30-year to mimic a 15-year?

Yes - this is the 'have your cake and eat it' approach. Take the 30-year for flexibility, but add the extra principal each month (about $782/mo on a $400K loan to mimic a 15-year). You get the lower required payment but the same payoff timeline IF you stick to it.

Will paying off my mortgage early reduce my tax deduction?

Yes, but typically not enough to matter. Most borrowers in the 22-24% bracket get only a tiny benefit from mortgage interest deduction (it's only deductible if you itemize, which most don't with the $30K standard deduction in 2026). The interest you save is far more than the deduction lost.

Is a 20-year mortgage a good compromise?

Yes - some lenders offer 20-year mortgages at a rate between 15-year and 30-year (~0.25% above 15-year). Saves significant interest vs 30-year while having a more manageable payment than 15-year. Less common but available at most large lenders.

What if I lose my job during a 15-year mortgage?

This is the real risk - the higher payment is mandatory. With a 30-year + investing the difference, you have an investment buffer you can tap. Build a 6-12 month emergency fund BEFORE taking on a 15-year mortgage.

Should I refinance my 30-year to a 15-year if rates dropped?

Run the numbers: if your remaining balance is small and the rate drop is significant, yes. If you're 10+ years in, the math often favors keeping the 30-year and paying extra principal - same result, more flexibility.

Is biweekly payment really equivalent to a 15-year?

Not equivalent - biweekly on a 30-year saves you ~6 years (paid off in 24 years instead of 30). It's a great middle ground but doesn't fully match the 15-year's faster pay-down.

How does PMI factor into the comparison?

PMI (private mortgage insurance) applies to either when down payment < 20%. PMI rates are based on loan-to-value, not term. You'll typically reach 20% equity faster on a 15-year (about 4-5 years vs 9-11 years on a 30-year), so 15-year shortens the PMI period.